Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.688098e-05 0.000055 0.000063 0.000072 0.000083 0.000094 0.000106
2025-01-19 3.488462e-05 0.000045 0.000056 0.000069 0.000085 0.000102 0.000123
2025-01-26 2.741619e-05 0.000038 0.000051 0.000067 0.000087 0.000110 0.000138
2025-02-02 2.376107e-05 0.000035 0.000050 0.000069 0.000093 0.000122 0.000158
2025-02-09 2.005963e-05 0.000032 0.000048 0.000069 0.000096 0.000130 0.000174
2025-02-16 1.864347e-05 0.000031 0.000049 0.000073 0.000105 0.000145 0.000197
2025-02-23 1.601206e-05 0.000029 0.000047 0.000072 0.000107 0.000152 0.000211
2025-03-02 1.296981e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000069 0.000106 0.000153 0.000218
2025-03-09 1.081328e-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000067 0.000106 0.000157 0.000228
2025-03-16 9.106532e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000066 0.000106 0.000161 0.000238
2025-03-23 7.828151e-06 0.000019 0.000036 0.000065 0.000108 0.000167 0.000250
2025-03-30 6.704902e-06 0.000017 0.000035 0.000064 0.000109 0.000172 0.000261
2025-04-06 5.300335e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000062 0.000109 0.000176 0.000272
2025-04-13 4.014805e-06 0.000013 0.000029 0.000059 0.000108 0.000177 0.000281
2025-04-20 3.110723e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000058 0.000108 0.000181 0.000292
2025-04-27 2.743826e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000059 0.000113 0.000193 0.000314
2025-05-04 2.241944e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000059 0.000115 0.000200 0.000331
2025-05-11 2.130725e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000063 0.000124 0.000217 0.000360
2025-05-18 1.730714e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000062 0.000126 0.000224 0.000376
2025-05-25 1.243036e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000059 0.000123 0.000224 0.000382
2025-06-01 9.256416e-07 0.000007 0.000022 0.000058 0.000123 0.000227 0.000393
2025-06-08 6.916148e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000056 0.000123 0.000231 0.000404
2025-06-15 5.303821e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000056 0.000125 0.000237 0.000419